I hate watching Dan Mullen resurrect Tim Tebow in the form of Dak Prescott by running that "biggest kid on the team run left, right and up the middle" offensive. It's so brutally boring, low risk, and efficient. I myself am a fan of the forward pass. It's fun and leads to big chunks of yards, excitement, and brutal spleen rupturing collisions over the middle.
I prefer to watch games like Baylor and TCU. They're like watching two redneck militias with AR-15s and squad autos firing live tracer rounds at each.Watching Dak Prescot and Mississippi State is not that type of show. It's like watching a spider spin its web lay in waiting and devouring a fly.
That being said, I'll be watching Mississippi State @ Southern Mississippi today.
Southern Miss is getting 21.5 points from Bovada. MSU only returns seven starters from last year. They still have a dominant front 7 on defense but they only return two starters from the 14' O-Line. They also lost Josh Robinson, last years leading rusher with 1,203 yards (6.3 YPC) and 11 TDS to the NFL. On special teams they are breaking in a new kicker.
Things could get wonky in week one for Dan Mullen's squad with all this turnover, and I love that 21.5 point spread. I think the .5 is the difference here.
Mississippi State wins this one 34-13.
Louisville (+11) v. Auburn (Neutral Site: Atlanta Jawja)
Louisville is getting 11 points? Bet that. The Cards' front 7 may be one of the best in the country. Linebacker James Burgess and DE Sheldon Rankins are potential 1st round draft picks and DT Pio Vatuvei (another disciplinary dismissee plucked from Juco) is a very underrated gap filling run stuffer.
Adding former TCU OLB and Big 12 Freshman of the Year Devonte Fields(Dismissed for Domestic Violence) to that mix is criminal. Pun intended.
Louisville's secondary has a few questions but former 5-Star recruit and UGA transfer Josh Harvey-Clemons will anchor a unit coached by 1991 Thorpe winner Terrell Buckley and Defensive Coordinator Todd Grantham. I expect that unit to suffer somewhat of a drop-off from last year's performance, but not much.
Louisville's defense, aided by an entire offseason of prepping for this game, will keep them in this game until the fourth quarter. But, if the offense can develop a running attack behind a question mark laden O-Line they may just pull off an upset. In order to win and potentially knock Auburn out of national title contention, the offensive attack must be balanced to keep the likes of Carl Lawson and Byron Cowart from pinning their ears back and teeing off on Bonnafon or Gardner or Bolin or Jackson.
I like the Cards' to cover in this one: Auburn 24 - Louisville 17
Last year the Hokies beat Ohio State. Blacksburg is a tough place to play. Virginia Tech's defense is stingy and Kendall Fuller is one of the best cornerbacks in the country. You will hear this ad-nauseam, until kick-off.
I'm sorry, I can't get behind a team that scored three points against WF last year. Most of the players from that team are back this season.
Sure, VT beat OSU head to head last year. So what? That happened early in the season before JT Barrett emerged as one of the best players in the country.
Last year's loss actually lit a fire under Barrett as he went on to throw for 2,834 yards and 34 touchdowns as well as rushing for 1,117 and 11 TDS.
Ezekiel Elliot only had 8 carries against VT last year. Pretty sure that number almost triples today.
Also consider that Braxton Miller will be playing H-back and this is not an offense with an identity crisis. This offense is that hot girl in HS that knew exactly how hot she was and like you didn't have a chance with her then, VT doesn't have a chance with OSU now.
Ohio State big in this one: 41-17